![]() The majority of your edge is coming from backcounting only a minor portion is coming from strategy changes. Accordingly, the odds of being dealt blackjack for the player are about 4.8. If you're backcounting and making strategy changes, that's different. It is simpler to calculate the blackjack odds and probabilities for the dealer and the player in a single-deck game though the calculations depend on the hands of both. I really doubt anyone can beat the house with just strategy changes. ![]() ![]() If you make strategy changes, then that's the only way you get the -0.57% that's actually calculated. That is, by always playing basic strategy, you actually play with an additional -0.03% EV against the house.įor example, if your game has a book-calculated EV of -0.57%, and you play basic strategy, your actual EV is -0.60% - because the book calculated the EV assuming the count is always 0. More accurately, though, it's not that you will GAIN 0.03%, but that you WON'T LOSE 0.03%. 5Đ.339%Đ.003%Overall, by making perfect strategy adjustments, you will gain about 0.03% on the house.
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